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Dec 12, 2019 The exit poll is a survey of thousands of voters just after they have cast their ballot. It covers England, Scotland and Wales but not Northern Ireland, where a different set of parties dominate. Mar 03, 2020 Exit polls are results from a survey of voters as they entered randomly selected voting sites in Alabama, California, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North.
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Donald Trump Projected to be President-elect of the United States ABC News' Amna Nawaz and LZ Granderson talk with conservative commentator Amy Holmes, FiveThirtyEigiht's Walt Hickey and Farai Chideya after Donald Trump is projected to be the president-elect of the United States. Chris Lee/St.
Louis Post-Dispatch/AP Photo -It's election night in America, and before we know who wins, we're getting a glimpse of who turned out at the polls and what motivated their votes.For the latest exit poll data from the ABC News Analysis Desk, be sure to bookmark and refresh this page. If you're using the ABC News mobile app, star this page so you can get back to it easily. You can also check outThis is preliminary data and can change - sometimes materially - as the evening progresses. Be sure to check back for the latest.We've received the first batch of exit poll data and are updating with analysis as we receive it.The Candidates' AttributesMuch of the campaign focused on Hillary Clinton’s and Donald Trump’s personal qualities.
Both reached record levels of unpopularity for presidential candidates, with sharp divisions on their fitness for office on items such as qualifications, temperament and honesty.In preliminary national exit poll results 54 percent of voters see Clinton unfavorably, and 61 percent say the same of Trump. Comparable numbers in 2012 were 46 for Barack Obama and 50 for.Substantial numbers say both Clinton and Trump are not honest and trustworthy — 59 percent in Clinton’s case and 65 percent in Trump’s. It’s unprecedented even to ask this question in an exit poll.Clinton does better, Trump less well, on qualifications and temperament. Fifty-three percent of voters say she’s qualified for office, and 56 percent say she has the right personality and temperament for the job.
Those decline to 37 percent and 34 percent for Trump, respectively, in these preliminary exit poll results.The exit poll also asks which of four other candidate qualities are most important. In preliminary results, 38 percent say it’s someone who can bring about needed change versus 22 percent who say it’s experience and 22 percent who cite good judgment. Only 15 percent say it’s “someone who cares about people like me.” Among Clinton supporters, experience and judgment are most important, while among Trump supporters, it’s nearly all about change. Rural and Urban AttitudesPreliminary exit poll data has shed some light on rural, suburban and urban attitudes and views.About 20 percent of urban respondents said that they were worse off financially than they were in 2012. That can be compared to 28 percent of those who live in the suburbs and 36 percent who live in rural areas.Some 57 percent of urban voters say that they rate the economy negatively.
That's compared to 63 percent of suburban voters who were asked the same question, and 72 percent of rural voters.When it comes to who they trust to handle the economy, Clinton-Trump, urban respondents went 57-37 percent for Clinton, while suburban respondents went 44-49 percent. Rural respondents went 33-63 percent in favor of Trump.Responding to the rather pessimistic question about whether they believe life will be worse for the next generation than today, 27 percent of urban respondents said yes, while 35 percent of suburban and 41 percent of rural respondents did.And when it comes to belief that the economy is on the wrong track, 53 percent of urban respondents said that they believed it was. Voters line up in voting booths to cast their ballots at Robious Elementary School in Chesterfield, Virginia, Nov. Voters line up in voting booths to cast their ballots at Robious Elementary School in Chesterfield, Virginia, Nov.
Shelby Lum/Richmond Times-Dispatch via AP Trump's Treatment of Women and Clinton's EmailsTrump’s treatment of women and Clinton’s use of a private email server while secretary of state have been highly controversial issues.In preliminary exit poll results, 51 percent of voters say Trump’s treatment of women bothers them a lot, while fewer, 45 percent, say the same about the situation regarding Clinton’s emails. (Note: Interviews representing as much as 40 percent of the national exit poll were conducted in advance of the FBI’s announcement Sunday that it’s renewed review found nothing to warrant criminal charges against Clinton.)Anxiety and DislikeGiven their unpopularity, Clinton and Trump alike are seeing lukewarm support — including many voters who chiefly oppose their opponent rather than supporting them. This is especially so in Trump’s case, and far different from what we saw in 2012, when 70 percent of Obama’s voters strongly supported him, as did 60 percent of Romney’s, compared with only 10 percent who voted against their candidate’s opponent.Many voters express concern about a Clinton or Trump presidency, and excitement is subdued. Seventeen percent are excited about the prospect of a Clinton presidency, while 29 percent are downright scared about it. On the flip side, just 13 percent are excited about a possible Trump presidency in preliminary exit poll results; 37 percent, scared of it.The divisions are profound. Among Clinton supporters, 72 percent are scared of Trump in office; among Trump voters, 60 percent are scared of what Clinton would do.Previous positive and negative anticipation peaked in 2008, when 37 percent of voters were excited about an Obama presidency and 33 percent were scared about McCain.When Voters Made Their DecisionsWhen did voters make their decision?
Despite the frantic finish and a series of major events near the end of the race, 75 percent of voters say they decided on their vote more than a month ago. Still, 24 percent of voters say they made their choice in the last month. They’ll both be important groups to watch as the night goes on.State of the CountryWhatever their divisions, many voters share a sense of frustration with the political situation. Sixty-one percent of voters in preliminary exit poll results say the country’s on the wrong track. That’s similar to its level in 2012 when Barack Obama won re-election and down from 75 percent in 2008 at the peak of the economic crisis, but well above its level from 1996 to 2004.Sixty-nine percent are dissatisfied with the way the government is working, including 23 percent who are angry about it — a sentiment especially prevalent among Trump voters. And 49 percent say the government’s doing too many things best left to individuals and business, similar to most previous elections.Clinton and Trump voters are vastly different on these measures, with Clinton’s much more positive and Trump’s much more negative. For example, 92 percent of Trump’s supporters feel the country’s on the wrong track and 88 percent are dissatisfied with the how the government’s working, or angry about it.On the EconomyThe state of the economy relates to these sentiments.
Eight years on from the Great Recession, 62 percent of voters in preliminary exit poll results still rate the economy negatively — “not good” or “poor.” Still, that’s well down from 76 percent in 2012 and a vast 93 percent in 2008.Thirty percent say their family’s financial situation has improved in the last four years, but about as many, 27 percent, say it has gotten worse. (The rest say it’s about the same.) It’s the first time “better” has outnumbered “worse” on this question since 2004 and the lowest “getting worse” result since 2000.Expectations, though still not great, are better than they’ve been: In preliminary results, 37 percent of voters think the next generation will be worse off, but 33 percent think it will be better off, again the least negative differential since 2000. Again pessimism is far higher among Trump supporters.
Voters cast their ballots at the Wil-Mar Neighborhood Center on the Near East Side of Madison, Wis., Nov. Voters cast their ballots at the Wil-Mar Neighborhood Center on the Near East Side of Madison, Wis., Nov. Amber Arnold/Wisconsin State Journal/AP Photo Integrity of the VoteJust 28 percent of Trump voters say they’re very confident their votes will be counted accurately versus 68 percent of Clinton voters. There was no partisan gap on this question when it was asked in the 2008 exit poll, and the division this year is bigger even than the one between Kerry and Bush voters in 2004, after the contentious 2000 election.On the IssuesPreliminary exit poll results indicate that the economy/jobs is the top issue for voters (52 percent), followed by terrorism (18 percent), foreign policy (13 percent) and immigration (12 percent).